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Catskill Steve's Picks: July 16 BmlP
Tuesday, July 15, 2014 - by “Catskill” Steve Terjanian

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Catskill Steve offers his picks for the $10,000 Pick-4 at Balmoral Park on July 16, part of the U.S. Trotting Association Strategic Wagering Program.

Checking up on “Catskill” Steve: After 31 straight tries at the Balmoral Pick-4 with no success, I hit my second straight Wednesday night paying $220.50 for $1. On Saturday, two winners ($8.60, $12.00) a second and third place finish in losing two legs. Sunday, I had two short priced winners and a place finisher. Since mid-April, I am showing a profit of $107.00.

Balmoral Park  Pick-4, Races 6-9, Wednesday, July 16, 2014

$1 play: 1357/23/45/13 = $32

Analysis:

Race 6: (3) Bell Valley Art had no shot from 10-hole last time but did pace a :56.2 middle half and finish in :28.2. Was shuffled out two back and had good late surge to nail place three back. Moves into new barn and figures to be well placed. (1) Justlivinthedream is winless on the year but has been racing well despite tough trips in recent and looks like the one to beat. (5) Look Ma No Hands was used early in last and had even pace finishing against similar. (7) Music Again is winless over last two years but has been pacing some quick miles recently and is a threat in the late stages if pace sets up for a closer.

Race 7: (3) Babyshoebuyer took a lifetime mark at Maywood two back, then shipped to Balmoral and drew 10-hole, charged home off excess cover finishing in :27.2. (2) Satin Slayer missed by a head off a strong speed try from 8-hole last time. The 6-year-old mare also took a lifetime mark at Maywood two back and gets a better spot in second Balmoral try.

Race 8: (4) Swan Princess was an impressive winner here on last visit in mid-June. Filly returns after chasing Indiana Sire Stakes foes in last two and improving sort may be set to handle this level. (5) Nino Marino has also sampled stakes foes in a number of sophomore starts with little success. Broke last time after an alert getaway and is capable of improvement with clean trip.

Race 9: (1) Moon Bay Dancer is in top form now and comes off her second straight win leaving from 8-hole, getting shuffled and rallying with :27.1 final quarter while seeming out of it mid-stretch. (3) Kitty O'Brien just got outkicked by top one after her usual strong move to the top turning for home. Mare is as game as they come and must be included.

Good Luck!


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